Friday, August 8, 2014

Jays Try to Talk Alford Out of Football - Says No, Thanks





  Dual sport-star Anthony Alford revealed this week to Hugh Kellenberger of the Jackson (MS) Clarion-Ledger that Blue Jays GM Alex Anthopolous offered him a contract extension on the last day of his third successive brief baseball season in early July.
   Alford did not reveal much about the offer, other than that it was for five years, and presumably would mean that he would have to forego his college football commitment.
  We imagine that the dollars discussed were substantial.  The raw, but premium-tooled athlete had just finished a week in low A ball with Lansing, where Alford's prodigious athletic talents were put on display (.320/.320/.480, with 4 SB's in 25 At Bats), despite the fact that he had totalled 48 plate appearances in the Gulf Coast League over two summers.
   Alford admitted that the Blue Jays, who had selected him in the 3rd round of the 2012 draft and gave him a $750 000 bonus despite his stated intention of playing quarterback at Southern Mississippi, pulled something of an all-out blitz, telling Kellenberger, "He (Anthopolous) put some deals on the table and made it difficult for me."
   Obviously, Anthopolous didn't make things that difficult, as Alford carried through with his plans to report for Ole Miss' training camp after getting married in mid-July.  Alford told Kellenberger:

   "Football was my first love, and even if I made $100 million down the road in baseball, I'd still regret not giving football a shot."

  So we can safely assume the answer Alford gave AA was "no, thanks."

   Alford red-shirted at Ole Miss last football season as a result of transferring after a tumultuous freshman campaign at Southern Miss.  He often quarterbacked the scout team in practice last year, and while he has moved to the other side of the ball in a bid to gain a starting position, Ole Miss coach Hugh Freeze has liked the looks of Alford behind centre in practice.  He likely will be a back-up at defensive safety, and his blazing speed may be put to use on the punt return team.  Understandably, this is an athlete they want on the field.

   Alford's dream all along, of course, has been to play football.  We have heard (but couldn't substantiate) that Alford has confided to friends that he would rather play arena football than pro baseball.  While there's no questioning his desire to play at the college level,  we would question the wisdom of that decision if things were to come to that.  The Blue Jays are obviously willing to make Alford a wealthy young man if he was to focus solely on baseball.  We have written before about Alford not having the best influences in his upbringing.  His father is currently serving a sentence for dealing Oxycodone, and his mother was arrested in 2014 on the same charges.  Judging by his tweets, he has left his young bride behind in his hometown of Petal, and he appears to be boarding with a family in Oxford for the college year.  We wonder what, if any, counsel was available to him in Lansing, hundreds of miles away from home, when Anthopolous was trying to convince him to switch.


   It's far too early to determine what Alford's football future will hold.  Two years ago, as one of the top recruits in the nation, the sky appeared to be the limit.  Alford now is trying to rebuild his name and reputation on the gridiron.  

  We are quite disappointed, but not surprised by Alford spurning the Jays offer, whatever it was.  And he still is very young, having just turned 20 last month.  Even though he's far behind his baseball peers in terms of experience, he showed this summer that he's not all that far behind in development.  There's little doubt that he would reach his potential in a hurry if he was to concentrate solely on baseball.  If he had accepted the Blue Jays offer, he likely would've remained in Lansing for most of the summer, and headed to Instructional League in the fall.  Given his athleticism, we could see him in the majors by 2016, when he will be readying for his junior football season at Ole Miss, presuming he doesn't leave school early and declare for the NFL draft.

   Alford will make his Ole Miss debut on August 28th against Boise State.  We admit that we'll be looking for a live stream of it.

Sunday, August 3, 2014

Monday Notebook


   It's early, because we're going to be away from reliable wi-fi for a few days, so here's a look at what happened in the Blue Jays minor league system over the past week.

   It actually promised to be a quiet week.  Pitcher Ryan Borucki was promoted from Bluefield to Vancouver on Tuesday, and then all hell broke loose on Friday.  First, a check of our Twitter timeline revealed that Roberto Osuna was going to make a rehab start that night for the Dunedin Blue Jays. Moments later, we saw that Miguel Castro was elevated from Vancouver to Lansing, and then Kendall Graveman was promoted from New Hampshire to Buffalo, with Taylor Cole called up from Dunedin to take Graveman's place in the Fisher Cats' rotation.  Finally, Lansing sent righthander  Jeremy Gabryszwski to fill Cole's spot in the D-Jays rotation.  It seemed like this all took place within a matter of minutes.  After being very conservative with their young pitchers the past few years, the message seems to be different this year:  pitch well, and you will advance quickly.

   With a rehabbing Brett Lawrie in the lineup, Osuna took to the mound in Florida for the first time since pitching an inning in a GCL almost a month ago.  Osuna had a 1-2-3 first inning, sandwiching a ground out around a pair of swinging K's.  He gave up a single and a triple on his first two pitches in the second, then struck out two of the next three hitters.  Osuna lasted until he had reached his pitch limit with one out in the fourth.  He allowed 3 runs (all earned), on 4 hits, giving up a walk and striking out 6.  His 8.10 ERA for the game may seem unsightly, but Osuna showed a great deal in this outing, including a fastball which sat between 93-95, a curve at 81, and a changeup that constantly kept hitters off balance.  We look forward to his next start.  At 19, he's the youngest player in the FSL, and is the third youngest at High A.

   Graveman's promotion to Buffalo came as a surprise.  He has made a rapid rise through the system this year, starting at Lansing in April, and progressing up each level.  Most of his year has been spent at High A with Dunedin, where he has broken a lot of bats en route to an 8-4, 2.23 record.  Promoted to New Hampshire a little over a week ago, he made one start in AA before being sent to Buffalo.  In his first AAA start on Saturday, he pitched well, giving up 8 hits (only one for extra bases), but only a pair of runs in 6 innings.  Not a strikeout per inning guy, Graveman walks few (only 18 in 96 FSL innings), and pounds the zone down low, as evidenced by his 10:1 ground out to fly ball ratio.

   Cole, Graveman's former rotation mate in Dunedin, did not fare as well in his AA debut.  The minors strikeout leader, Cole gave up 8 hits in 5.1 innings, giving up 8 runs (7 earned), walking and striking out four.  That Cole struggled and Graveman didn't can be explained by the huge gap between A and AA.  AA is the level where hitters start to have a plan, and pitchers can't rely on simply blowing fastballs by them.  The gap is not as big between AA and AAA.
   Borucki pitched very well in his Northwest League debut, throwing 5 scoreless innings last night, striking out 7, and only giving up 2 hits and a walk.  The 2012 draft pick, who missed all of last year due to TJ surgery, is quickly making up for lost time.

    There is no word when Castro will make his Low A debut with Lansing, or whether he will make it in a starting or relief capacity.  He was one of the youngest players in the Northwest League, and now is one of the youngest in the Midwest League.  Castro was simply dominant at Vancouver, with a 6-2, 2.15 record in 10 starts for the C's, including 53 strikeouts in 50 innings.  His promotion was something of a surprise given his age, and that he's only been pitching stateside for about a year.

   Our prospect hitter of the month is Dunedin OF Dwight Smith, Jr.  Overshadowed by teammate Dalton Pompey in Florida earlier this year, Smith quietly put together one of the best lines in all of the system in July, leading all prospects in batting average, on-base percentage, and OPS.  His line for the month was .356/.429/.586, and his totals for the season are:

TeamLeagueAVGGABRH2B3BHRRBITBBBSOSBCSOBPSLGOPS
DUNFSL.28899396681142178491734454124.360.437.797


   Our prospect pitcher of the month comes down to Castro or Graveman.  And it's a tough choice.  Because he's pitched at four levels this year, we'll take Graveman, but you could easily make a case for Castro.
   Graveman was 3-1 for the month, with a 0.93 ERA.  In 38.2 IP, he gave up 37 hits, walked only 6 batters.  Castro was 4-1, 1.13, striking out 32 batters in as many innings.  The line for both this year:

Graveman
TeamLeagueWLERAGGSCGSHOSVIPHRERHRBBSOGO/AOAVG
LANMID200.344400026.1112106252.47.126
DUNFSL842.23161600096.2892924118641.74.243
NHEAS101.50110006.08110241.20.364
BUFINT013.00110006.08220043.33.333
Minors1151.872222000135.01163428126971.86.232


Castro
TeamLeagueWLERAGGSCGSHOSVIPHRERHRBBSOGO/AOAVG
VANNOR622.15101000050.1361312220531.22.202
Minors622.15101000050.1361312220531.22.202
   All of the Blue Jays affiliates had a winning record for the month, except for Dunedin, which is the only club that's clinched a playoff spot to this point.



Wednesday, July 30, 2014

Movie Review: The Battered Bastards of Baseball


   On the surface, the premise for the movie The Battered Bastards of Baseball is a sure-fire one, straight from a Hollywood screenwriter:   a city gets left holding the bag by unfeeling owners who let the local team slowly wither and die; rich, benevolent outsider buys the team, not really knowing much about baseball beyond the playing field; team gathers a rag-tag collection of cast-offs, has-beens, and wanna-bes, and somehow fights for the pennant, and revitalizes baseball in the formerly moribund city.

   To be sure, the real-life script of the movie follows that plot-line almost to a "T".  Veteran Hollywood character actor Bing Russell (father of Kurt),  looking for a hobby to occupy him after playing Deputy Clem Foster on the long-running TV hit Bonanza, buys a minor league team in Portland, Oregon, after the franchise had left for Spokane, WA, after years of declining attendance.  Russell, who grew up around the Yankees Spring Training base in Florida, was a dedicated ball player - he had even played a few years of Class D ball in the later 1940s before moving to Hollywood to make it as an actor.
 
   During his long tv and film career, Russell's love of the game didn't diminish.  He even made a series of instructional videos starring a young Kurt.  When the opportunity came to buy the rights (for $500) to a Portland-based franchise in the short-season Northwest League in 1973, Russell jumped at it, and threw himself in a head-first slide into all aspects of its operation.   Because he had no affiliation with an MLB team (there were several unaffiliated teams at that time, but there number was declining every year), Russell advertised open tryouts for the team across the country, and an army of players of all shapes and sizes descended on the city, chasing the dream.

   No one knew what to expect - Russell appointed Kurt both Vice-President of the club and the team's DH, and found a former ball player who owned a local bar to manage the club (there is a great deal of archival footage in the movie, and much of it features Bing in full uniform in the dugout, so we have suspicions about who the manager really was).  On opening night, Portland pitcher Gene Lanthorn threw a no-hitter, and the Mavericks were off and running.  They beat teams full of highly touted prospects from affiliated teams, and before long, the national media picked up on the phenomenon going on in Portland.  Even broadcaster Joe Garagiola came to town, and came away with enough material for not one, but two features for NBC's "Game of the Week" Saturday broadcast.

   Directed by two of Russell's grandsons, the movie was released directly to Netflix, and deftly weaves the story of the Mavericks around the footage, and first-hand accounts from Kurt, former players, the team's bat boy, and local sports writers who covered the team.  The movie attempts to portray the team as overachieving underdogs, representing the last vestiges of an independent minor leagues, all but buried by the corporate interests of Major League Baseball.  To be sure, the team drew spectacularly well (in a league where most teams drew less than 1000 fans a night), setting both the single-game and season attendance records for the NWL to decrepit Civic Stadium, which was a multi-use bad dream with astro turf.  Russell kept a 30-man roster in order to give more players a chance, and had at the time the minors first and only female General Manager in 24 year-old Lanny Moss.   The Mavericks usually dominated their division standings, but never took home a league title - the movie claims that the affiliated clubs would send some of their best players from higher leagues down to stack their NWL club, the story goes, to keep Portland from winning.

   All of this is well and good, but it flies in the face of some obvious facts.  The Mavericks were, on average, several years older than the other NWL teams.  Major league teams kept only 4-5 farm teams in those days, compared to 6-7 today, and for several, the NWL was an equivalent to complex ball.  Today, the league is stocked mostly with recent college grads and high school players who have had a season or two of rookie ball under their belts.  At that time, the league was much younger, and was filled with many recent high school grads.  Lanthorn, who threw the inaugural game no-hitter, was at 22 a college grad (drafted and let go by the Giants) with a year of NWL experience.  Reggie Thomas, the club's best player and most colourful character was drafted in 1965, and had played as high as AA before joining the Mavericks at the age of 27. In a league where the average age hovered just under 21, the Mavs had a veteran roster almost 3 years older.  Russell boasted that the affiliated clubs did their best to beat his club, citing how Bellingham had thrown Rick Sutcliffe twice against them in one series - Sutcliffe had been a Dodgers' first round pick, but at 18, was all of several weeks out of high school.  In their final season, the Mavs had an average age over 4 years older than the league average.  That the Mavericks never won a NWL title may owe more to the fact that the younger but higher ceilinged opposition was starting to play more to its potential after three months of pro ball than any conspiracy to keep the unaffiliateds from winning.

  Another issue we have with the movie is the lionization of Manager Frank Peters.  We're all capable of redemption, but the movie fairly lionized Peters, and to us, he's something of a disgrace.  We can overlook his heavy drinking (he admits in the movie to being tossed out of his own bar at least three times), his descent into the world of drug dealing when he fell behind on his taxes, but we have trouble getting past the fact that he was arrested in 1989 on numerous sex-related offences involving underage girls.  This guy was something of a reptile - maybe he has reformed, and he was a character (Thomas once threatened to shoot Peters for pulling him in the first game of a doubleheader - turns out Thomas had a gun.  In the dugout.), but we're a little uneasy with the movie's deification of him.

  The Mavs only had one player in their lineup who would go on to make the Major Leagues.  Infielder Jeff Cox played a handful of games for the A's in the early 80s.  Portland did boast of one former and soon to be future major leaguer again in knuckleballer Jim Bouton.  The author of our favourite baseball book of all time, Ball Four,  the former Yankee took a vacation from his sportscasting job in 1975 to play a few weeks for the Mavericks, then quit in order to pursue his comeback full time in 1977.  Bouton had called around looking for a team to start his comeback bid with, and only Russell offered him a trial.  The movie did feature some great archival footage of Bouton on The Tonight Show with Johnny Carson discussing his attempt to return to the bigs via Portland.  Sadly, Bouton did not make a modern-day appearance during the film to talk about his time in the Northwest League, which culminated with his appearing with Atlanta as a September call-up the following year.  Bouton did do a voice-over just before the credits, and maybe he wasn't available and/or interested in the project, but to us, his absence was a huge disappointment, and took away from the movie a great deal.

   In the end, Organized Baseball "rediscovered" the Portland market, and made plans to take control of the territory from Russell after the 1977 season.  Minor league baseball offered Russell a paltry $5 000 for the franchise rights, while he asked for over $200 000, which an arbitrator eventually agreed with.  Russell may have won the battle, but he lost the war.

   The archival footage of this film does make it an interesting watch. The clip of Bouton with Carson was pure gold.  It would've been interesting to hear what players and management of other NWL teams from that time period had to say about the Mavericks, but we only get the Portland perspective.  Russell's grandsons have spun the tale to fit the outcast/castoff theme.  So be aware that you're getting a one-sided view.  In the end, they may have been well-travelled, but we're not sure the Mavericks were as battered as the movie would have us believe.

   By the way, if you haven't had the chance to read Ball Four, we strongly suggest you do.  Bouton changed the way many fans looked at the game, and how the media covered it.

Jim Bouton

Monday, July 28, 2014

Monday Notebook



Has it been seven days already??
Time for another edition of our Monday Notebook.

It's hard to keep track of the number of words we've written about Aaron Sanchez, but suffice to say that if we were paid for them, we likely would be able to watch him from the comfort of our own private box at the dome.
  The young righthander made his major league debut in a high leverage situation against the Orioles, and after a shaky first inning out of the bullpen (three up, three down, just the same), he settled in for his second inning, striking out a pair on called third strikes.  Manager John Gibbons showed his trust in Sanchez when he brought him in in the 7th inning of another pressure cooker of a game against the Yankees.  Staked to a one run lead in his second inning of work, Sanchez gave up a two-out base hit to Carlos Beltran, allowing Brett Gardner to score from second.  Dioner Navarro brought in Jose Bautista for the game-winning run in the top of the 9th, and Casey Janssen came on to preserve Sanchez' first MLB win.
   We've been hearing some concerns about how Sanchez hasn't missed many bats in his 4 innings of major league work.  According to Brooks Baseball, he has generated only one swing and miss in the 52 pitches he has thrown as a big leaguer, but he has generated plenty of weak contact, and has given up no fly balls off of his four-seam fastball, which has topped 97 on the gun.  We're more than satisfied with that.  The beleaguered likely is, too.

   We see that Sanchez has been supplanted as the Blue Jays top prospect on MLBPipeline.com by Daniel Norris on their recent ranking of each organization's prospects.   Actually, it's an interesting list (and looks a lot different from the pre-season one), with two pitchers coming off Tommy John surgery (Roberto Osuna and Jeff Hoffman), and Hoffman's draft-mate Max Pentecost making the Top 10.
   We can argue the merits of Norris and Sanchez all day long, but we'll stick with the latter as our top prospect for the time being.  Norris has certainly come into his own over the past 14 months, but without the scrutiny Sanchez has, and without the organization constantly tinkering with his mechanics and release point. And Norris has shown that now that he's facing hitters with a plan at AA, he needs to make adjustments to his own plan as well, because he's given up some hard contact, and has struggled a bit with his command.  Don't get us wrong -we see these two at the top of the Blue Jays rotation by about 2016 (along with Marcus Stroman),  but he still see Sanchez as having the higher upside.
   That Dalton Pompey has emerged as the #3 prospect behind these two is no surprise.  The toolsy outfielder had a rough introduction to AA, but he has figured things out, hitting .450/.488/.600 over his last 10 games with New Hampshire.  Hoffman comes in at #4, followed by Osuna and Pentecost.  Following at #7/#8/#9 are Mitch Nay, Franklin Barreto, and DJ Davis.  We're mildly surprised by Davis' inclusion in the top 10, as he has struggled for much of the year at Low A ball.  Rounding out the top 10 is another 2014 draftee, RHP Sean Reid-Foley.  That 3 June draftees rank in the top 10 speaks both to the struggles some of the experienced prospects (Jairo Labourt, Alberto Tirado, and Chase De Jong) have had, and to the excellent draft the  Blue Jays had, coming away with three top 20 pre-draft  talents.

   As August rolls around, we start to think of who might merit a promotion to the next level.  The Blue Jays have been less conservative with their top prospects this year.  With that in mind, we think the playoff-bound Dunedin Blue Jays could benefit from the bats of one or more of Nay, Dawel Lugo, or Matt Dean.  The first two were promoted from Bluefield to Vancouver last last August to help the C's with their playoff run, while Dean, the Appy League's batting champ last year, has been Lansing's most consistent hitter this year, posting a line of .296/.344/.466.  We could see Pentecost skip a level to join Dunedin, as well, possibly with Barreto, although we can also see one or both staying with Vancouver if they are in a playoff hunt.  If such has the case, we could also predict that one or more of Bluefield's pitching staff could move up, including Joey Aquino, Evan Smith, or Ryan Borucki.  If Barreto was promoted, Richard Urena of the Bluefield Jays would be in line to take his place.  Andy Burns has not had the season many had hoped he would have, but has hit .290/.342/.500 since the 1st of June, and may be ready for AAA.  We don't think Norris is line for a promotion at this point, and his innings need to be closely watched - he's a likely candidate for the Arizona Fall League.  Kyle Drabek, who has been used in relief by Buffalo for about a month, may see a September call-up to help the big club.

   One last Roberto Osuna update:  his one and only appearance this year on July 8th in the GCL, where he pitched a scoreless 1-2-3 inning, less than a year after undergoing Tommy John surgery.  Many Jays fans on Twitter have been expressing some concern over his absence from games since that time.  According to Gregor Chisholm, who covers the Jays for MLB.com, he is pitching in simulated games at the Jays Florida complex for now, and that the GCL outing was a one-time thing.  He is not expected to pitch again in game action until next spring.  So, we shouldn't expect to see him make an appearance at Lansing or the AFL, presumably.